The Baltimore Orioles had playoff aspirations in 2026. Opening Day dawned a bright one, and the Birds delivered – a 2-1 win over Minnesota. They took two-of-three that weekend, at least cementing that they would be in the fight until the end.
The Birds held serve through April. But cracks appeared. They had already lost Jordan Westburg for the season. They also lost Ryan Mountcastle – as it turned out, for the season. Not to mention numerous pitchers – both relievers and starters. Injuries plagued this team, as it had in 2025. On top of that, the likes of Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday (who also started the season on the IL), struggled out of the gate. And ended up struggling most of the year.
The story of the 2026 Orioles will forever be complicated. At times they looked outstanding. At times they looked lost. There were certainly bright spots, such as Coby Mayo, Brandon Young, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand. But of course, MVO Pete Alonso belongs in a league of his own.
When the Orioles signed Alonso last off season, I said they added 30 homers and 100 RBI to the lineup. Try 43 homers and 113 RBI. Not to mention, he played a gold glove caliber first base. The one knock on Alonso had been his glove. At least this year, he was as sure-handed as they came.
The Orioles at times infernally bound themselves to Sabre metrics. Maybe that isn’t bad on the surface, but too much of anything is too much. Anytime they came up against someone who was willing to think slightly outside the box, they all but couldn’t function. Teams would bunt guys into scoring position, while the O’s waited to hit home runs.
They became too tied to spin rate on pitches, and hitting the ball hard at bat. As MASN analyst and former Oriole Ben McDonald said, it doesn’t matter how hard you throw ball four. That’s very true. Similarly, it doesn’t matter how hard you hit the ball if it finds a fielder’s mitt.
The over-reliance on analytics perhaps manifested themselves the most in an unsung situation at the end of the season. On September 18th against Milwaukee, manager Craig Alberbaz lifted Colton Cowser, a lefty. He pinch hit Rece Hinds, who in fact was a righty. The computer said the situation called for a righty – which in theory was true at the time. But Hinds was hitting .177 on the year at the time. Go figure, when you lift a the big league hitter for a AA guy, you have a good chance to record an out.
At the end of the day, the O’s were officially eliminated from playoff contention after playing their 159th game. Many will argue that they were well out of it by well before then, but officially they made it that far. So yes, in it until the end.
2026 also saw the O’s trade Adley Rutschman to Boston – within the division. Perhaps also a function of analytics. On paper they got a great deal. But the computer can’t decipher how poor of a decision it is to trade within one’s division. Trading within the division is a huge risk. And one which isn’t worth taking.
Moving forward, the Orioles CAN WIN with the current mix of core players. But the organization needs to re-dedicate itself to perhaps backing off the use of Sabre metrics just a bit. There’s a place for it in the game, but the extreme to which many teams (including the Orioles) take it is too much. Why was the American League so tight in 2026? Could it be because many teams were calling games on autopilot by virtue of Artificial Intelligence? If
everyone is using the same program or the same ideas, it’s the guy who’s using feel for the game as opposed to just letting the computer handle it who’s going to win. In short, matching up (righty/righty, lefty/lefty) IS the correct thing to do in many situations late in games. But not just any righty (or lefty) will do. Would you pinch hit for Babe Ruth if the situation called for a right-handed hitter?
The computer would. Old school is always better. Old school and tradition…that’s all part of The Oriole Way. Learn from the past or be doomed to repeat it. Take it or leave it.
